62. While the fact of this consumer revolution is hardly in doubt, three key questions remain: who were the consumers? What were their motives? And what were the effect of the new demand for luxuries?
63. Although it has been possible to infer from the goods and services actually produced what manufacturers and servicing trades thought their customers wanted, only a study of relevant personal documents written by actual consumers will provide a precise picture of who wanted what.
64. With respect to their reasons for immigrating, Grassy does not deny their frequently noted fact that some of the immigrants of the 1630’s, most notably the organizers and clergy, advanced religious explanations for departure, but he finds that such explanations usually assumed primacy only in retrospect.
65. If we take the age-and sex-specific unemployment rates that existed in 1956 (when the overall unemployment rate was 4.1 percent) and weight them by the age- and sex-specific shares of the labor force that prevail currently, the overall unemployment rate becomes 5 percent.
61、當(dāng)然,對歷史反應(yīng)過度以致結(jié)論說關(guān)于擴(kuò)張的問題大多數(shù)人都錯(cuò)了與重新形成對大陸漂浮建議理論的反應(yīng)一樣,是危險(xiǎn)的。將來對于這些關(guān)鍵問題的研究毫無疑問是必要的,然而不應(yīng)該否定最近研究結(jié)論的說服力,在18世紀(jì)的英格蘭對于一些微不足道和有使用價(jià)值的商品和服務(wù)的需求,預(yù)示了我們今天的世界。
62、然而這種消費(fèi)革命的情況還有疑問,三個(gè)關(guān)鍵的問題是:消費(fèi)者是什么人?他們的動機(jī)是什么?對于奢侈品的新型需求的效果是什么?
63、盡管從生產(chǎn)廠商和服務(wù)行業(yè)認(rèn)為他們的顧客需要并實(shí)際生產(chǎn)的產(chǎn)品或者提供的服務(wù)來推斷他是可能的。但只有對實(shí)際的消費(fèi)者填寫的個(gè)人資料的研究才能清楚地描述顧客的需求。
64、對于他們移民原因的細(xì)節(jié),Grassy并不否認(rèn)他們經(jīng)常提出的事實(shí)-17世紀(jì)30年代的一些移民主要由組織家和牧師組成,提出了要離開的宗教解釋,但他發(fā)現(xiàn)只是以回顧的方式推定的基本情況。
65、如果我們將1956年(當(dāng)時(shí)的平均失業(yè)率為4、1%)的年齡和性別失業(yè)率分來用今天一般的勞動力中年齡性別比來計(jì)算的話,平均失業(yè)率就是5%了。
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