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美朝峰會無果而終,朝鮮半島無核化進程受挫

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2019年03月08日

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HANOI, Vietnam — President Trump and Kim Jong-un, North Korea’s leader, abruptly ended their second summit meeting on Thursday after talks collapsed with the two leaders failing to agree on any steps toward nuclear disarmament or measures to ease tensions on the Korean Peninsula.
越南河內(nèi)——美國總統(tǒng)特朗普和朝鮮領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人金正恩周四突然結(jié)束了他們的第二次峰會,會談破裂的原因是兩國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人未能就核裁軍步驟或緩解朝鮮半島緊張局勢的措施達成任何協(xié)議。
“Sometimes you have to walk,” Mr. Trump said at an afternoon news conference in Hanoi, Vietnam. He said Mr. Kim had insisted that all of the harsh United Nations sanctions imposed on the North be lifted in exchange for dismantling its most important nuclear facility but not other elements of its weapons program.
“有時候你不得不起身走人,”特朗普下午在越南河內(nèi)的記者會上說。他表示,金正恩堅持要求,全面解除聯(lián)合國對朝鮮實施的嚴厲制裁,換取朝鮮拆除其最重要的核設(shè)施,但不包括武器項目的其他部分。
“It was about the sanctions,” Mr. Trump said. “Basically they wanted the sanctions lifted in their entirety, but we couldn’t do that.”
“與制裁有關(guān),”特朗普說。“大體上是,他們希望全面解除制裁,但我們不能那樣做。”
The premature end to the negotiations leaves the unusual rapprochement between the United States and North Korea that has unfolded for most of a year at a deadlock, with the North retaining both its nuclear arsenal and facilities believed to be producing additional fissile material for warheads.
談判的過早結(jié)束讓美朝之間近一年來不同尋常的和解進程陷入僵局,朝鮮仍保留著自己的核武庫,以及據(jù)信能生產(chǎn)更多用于核彈頭的裂變材料的設(shè)施。
It also represents a major setback at a difficult political moment for Mr. Trump, who has long presented himself as a tough negotiator capable of bringing adversaries into a deal and had made North Korea the signature diplomatic initiative of his presidency.
對正處在艱難的政治時刻的特朗普來說,這也代表著一個重大挫折。特朗普長期以來一直把自己展現(xiàn)為一位能與對手做交易的強硬談判者,還把朝鮮作為他總統(tǒng)任期內(nèi)的標(biāo)志性外交議程。
Even as Mr. Trump prepared to sit down with Mr. Kim, his longtime lawyer and fixer, Michael D. Cohen, was delivering dramatic and damaging testimony in Congress, accusing him of an expansive pattern of lies and criminality.
就在特朗普準備與金正恩坐下來談判的時候,給他當(dāng)了很長時間律師和“平事人”的邁克爾·D·科恩(Michael D. Cohen)正在向美國國會提供引人注目的、具有破壞性的證詞,指責(zé)特朗普撒謊成性、有犯罪行為。
Mr. Trump had flown across the world to try to work face-to-face with Mr. Kim for the second time, an effort to reduce what American officials regard as one of the world’s foremost nuclear threats. Experts estimate that the North has 30 to 60 nuclear warheads and possibly a ballistic missile that can hit the continental United States.
為了第二次與金正恩進行面對面的交流,減少被美國官員認為是世界上最嚴重的核威脅之一,特朗普飛越了半個地球。據(jù)專家估計,朝鮮擁有30到60枚核彈頭,可能還有一枚能打擊美國本土的彈道導(dǎo)彈。
Mr. Trump said Mr. Kim did promise Thursday to continue a halt on nuclear and ballistic missile tests, despite the failure to reach a deal. But there is no formal agreement on that, and Mr. Kim could resume testing to force the Americans to return to the negotiating table or to offer better terms.
特朗普說,盡管兩國未能達成共識,金正恩周四的確承諾,將繼續(xù)停止核試驗和彈道導(dǎo)彈試驗。但在這一點上并沒有正式的協(xié)議,所以,為迫使美國重返談判桌,或提出對朝鮮更有利的條件,金正恩可能恢復(fù)核試驗。
Mr. Trump said that Mr. Kim had agreed to take an important step toward dismantling a central part of his nuclear program — the Yongbyon enrichment facility — but that Mr. Kim said he would do so only if all sanctions were lifted.
特朗普說,金正恩同意采取一個重要步驟,拆除其核項目核心部分的寧邊鈾濃縮設(shè)施,但金正恩說,只有在解除了所有制裁的情況下,他才會這樣做。
The president and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the North would have to dismantle other parts of the program before all sanctions were lifted. They added that the two sides would continue negotiations in other settings, and stressed that there were nuclear sites that American officials are aware of but that are unknown to the public.
美國總統(tǒng)和國務(wù)卿邁克·龐皮歐(Mike Pompeo)表示,在解除所有制裁之前,朝鮮必須拆除其核項目的其他部分。他們還說,雙方將在其他場合繼續(xù)談判,并強調(diào),有些核設(shè)施只是美國官員知道,公眾并不知道。
In response to a question, Mr. Trump also acknowledged that his administration was aware of a second enrichment site other than Yongbyon.
特朗普還在回答一個提問時承認,他的政府知道,除了寧邊,還有第二個鈾濃縮地點。
If, as Mr. Trump said, Mr. Kim insisted that the United States lift all economic sanctions in exchange for just the dismantlement of Yongbyon, that was a severe misreading of the American strategy. American officials have said that the sanctions are their main leverage with North Korea, and that keeping them tight is critical to the goal of full denuclearization.
如果像特朗普所說,金正恩堅持要求美國解除所有經(jīng)濟制裁,而換來的只是朝鮮拆除寧邊一個設(shè)施的話,那是他對美國戰(zhàn)略的嚴重誤讀。美國官員曾表示,制裁是美國能影響朝鮮的主要做法,維持制裁力度對實現(xiàn)全面無核化的目標(biāo)至關(guān)重要。
There was talk before Thursday that the Americans might allow more economic exchange between South Korea and the North as part of a deal, but that probably would have been as far as alleviation of sanctions would have gone at this point.
周四之前,外界曾認為,作為協(xié)議的一部分,美國可能會允許韓國和朝鮮之間進行更多的經(jīng)濟交流,那本來可能是目前這個階段能減輕制裁的最大限度。
Before ending the news conference to fly back to Washington, Mr. Trump tried to put a good face on the surprising turn of events.
在結(jié)束記者會飛回華盛頓之前,特朗普試圖把這個令人意外的事態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)折描述得并沒有那么糟糕。
“This wasn’t a walkaway like you get up and walk out,” he said. “No, this was very friendly. We shook hands.”
“這不是離開談判桌,像是你起身就走那樣,”他說。“不,事情結(jié)束得非常友好。我們握了手。”
“There’s a warmth that we have and I hope that stays,” he added.
“我們有一種友情,我希望這能持續(xù)下去,”他補充說。
The first sign of the collapse of the talks came after morning meetings, when White House officials said a lunchtime meeting and signing ceremony had been canceled. The White House then issued a statement saying that Mr. Trump and Mr. Kim had “discussed various ways to advance denuclearization and economic driven concepts,” and that they had had “very good and constructive meetings,” but had failed to reach an agreement.

談判破裂的第一個跡象是上午會面之后出現(xiàn)的,白宮官員表示,午餐會和簽字儀式取消。隨后,白宮發(fā)表聲明說,特朗普和金正恩已“討論了推動無核化進程和經(jīng)濟導(dǎo)向概念的各種途徑”,并說他們舉行了“非常好的、建設(shè)性的會面”,但未能達成協(xié)議。
“I worry about the consequences,” said Jean H. Lee, a Korea expert at the Wilson Center, a research organization in Washington. “Did these two leaders and their teams build up enough good will to keep the lines of communication open, or are we headed into another period of stalled negotiations — or worse, tensions — that would give the North Koreans more time and incentive to keep building their weapons program?”
“我對談判破裂的后果有些擔(dān)心,”華盛頓研究機構(gòu)威爾遜中心(Wilson Center)的朝鮮問題專家吉恩·H·李(Jean H. Lee)說。“這兩位領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人及其幕僚為保持溝通渠道的暢通建立了足夠好的關(guān)系嗎?還是我們將要進入另一個談判停滯期——或者更糟的是緊張局勢——給朝鮮人更多的時間和動力來繼續(xù)發(fā)展他們的武器計劃呢?”
“This result leaves very little room for Kim to save face,” she added.
“這種結(jié)果幾乎沒有給金正恩保全面子留下多少余地,”她還說。
Officials from both sides had hoped the Hanoi summit meeting would produce more concrete results than the vague communiqué issued by the two leaders after their first meeting last June, in Singapore.
雙方的官員都曾希望,這次河內(nèi)峰會將會產(chǎn)生比兩國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人去年6月在新加坡首次見面后發(fā)表的模糊公報更具體的結(jié)果。

Back then, they said they would work on four points: improving relations, establishing a “lasting and stable peace regime” on the Korean Peninsula, affirming that Pyongyang would work toward “complete denuclearization” of the peninsula, and the mutual return of remains from soldiers killed in the Korean War.
當(dāng)時,兩位領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人曾表示,他們將在四個方面進行努力:改善雙邊關(guān)系,在朝鮮半島建立“持久穩(wěn)定的和平機制”,確認平壤將致力于朝鮮半島的“全面無核化”,以及將雙方在朝鮮戰(zhàn)爭中死亡士兵的遺骸送還對方。
The collapse of the talks was a stark departure from the earlier mood of the two-day gathering. On Thursday morning, Mr. Trump and Mr. Kim kicked off the day by meeting one-on-one at the historic Metropole hotel, where they had had an intimate dinner the previous night.
會談的破裂與這次為期兩天的峰會早些時候展示的氣氛截然不同。周四上午,特朗普和金正恩在具有歷史意義的大都會酒店以單獨會面的形式開始了這一天。前一天晚上,他兩人曾在酒店親密地共進晚餐。
From the start, Mr. Trump emphasized that getting North Korea to dismantle its nuclear weapons program could be a lengthy effort, and that it would be coupled with attempts to integrate the isolated nation into the global economy.
從一開始,特朗普就強調(diào),讓朝鮮放棄其核武器計劃可能是一個漫長的努力,并表示,伴隨這種努力的將會是把這個孤立的國家融入全球經(jīng)濟體系的嘗試。
The Trump administration has kept up tough sanctions on North Korea. In 2017, the administration persuaded the United Nations Security Council — including China and Russia, allies of North Korea — to impose three rounds of sanctions on the North that, in total, were much harsher than sanctions pushed by prior administrations.
特朗普政府繼續(xù)對朝鮮實施嚴厲的制裁。2017年,美國政府說服聯(lián)合國安理會——包括朝鮮的盟友中國和俄羅斯——對朝鮮采取了第三輪制裁,這輪制裁在總體上比前幾屆政府推行的制裁嚴厲得多。
And before the collapse of Thursday’s talks, Mr. Trump was cautioning patience.
在周四的談判破裂之前,特朗普曾警告人們要保持耐心。
“I’ve been saying very much from the beginning that speed is not that important to me,” he said at the beginning of Thursday’s meetings. “I very much appreciate no testing of nuclear rockets, missiles.”
“從一開始我就一直在說,速度對我來說并不那么重要,”他在周四會談開始時說。“我非常贊賞朝鮮沒有再進行核試驗、導(dǎo)彈試驗。”
The message from the morning seemed clear — that integrating North Korea into the global economy would help moderate the country’s behavior and bring it closer to the American orbit. Mr. Trump appeared ready to gamble that as long as Mr. Kim and other North Korean officials rid themselves of any intent to harm the United States, they could keep their nuclear capability for a while.

上午傳來的信息似乎很清楚——把朝鮮融入全球經(jīng)濟體系將有助于緩和朝鮮的行為,使其更接近美國的軌道。特朗普似乎準備打個賭:只要金正恩及其他朝鮮官員放棄任何傷害美國的意圖,他們將能在一段時間內(nèi)保持自己的核能力。
Mr. Kim, when asked by an American reporter whether he was ready to denuclearize, said, “If I’m not willing to do that, I wouldn’t be here right now” — to which Mr. Trump replied, “That might be the best answer you’ve ever heard.”
一名美國記者問金正恩是否做好了解除核武器的準備時,金正恩回答說,“如果我不愿意這樣做,我現(xiàn)在就不會在這里”——特朗普對此表示,“這也許是你聽到過的最好的回答。”
Mr. Kim also suggested that he would accept an American liaison office in his country.
金正恩還暗示,他會接受美國在朝鮮設(shè)立聯(lián)絡(luò)處。

 
 
   

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