金融英語泛讀:投資捷徑與陷阱

Attention When Investing投資捷徑與陷阱

Despite recent gains in the stock market, portfolios remain badly damaged by the market performance of the past 18 months. With jobs still falling away at a rapid clip, the recession is still a serious concern.

As we wade through these difficult times, how should you think about your own financial situation?A good starting point is to remember what Kipling wrote：Keep your head about you as everyone is losing theirs. It's a great temptation in times such as these to think things will never get better.But if history shows us anything, things do eventually improve.In fact, judging by the standards of past economic shocks, this recession is getting long in the tooth.The average recession since World War ll has lasted 11 months, and the longest was 16 months in 1981—1982.Our current crisis is 15 months old.

Also, hints of bottoming are starting to surface. Oil prices have begun to rise, indicating some increased demand.China is importing aluminum again.In addition, the stimulus plan will start to kick in later this year, creating jobs and, perhaps, helping soothe some of the enormous fears in the marketplace.

So, there are definitely brighter times ahead. Until then, here are some strategies to help you keep your head about you:five things that you definitely should do and five things you definitely should not do, as you weigh how to protect and build your assets.

Let's start with the five things you should definitely do：

Reduce Your Expensive Debt

Too many of us overextended ourselves during the past decade with credit cards and other debt. These bills now hang over people like the Sword of Damocles.The first order of business is to reduce this expensive debt, even before saving for retirement or investing in the stock market.

Get On a Budget

Thrift is the new black. That means getting on a budget, measuring exactly what you spend and looking for ways to save money.Perhaps you are eating out more than you appreciate or spending too much on a cup of coffee.Budgeting is a lost discipline for many people and one that should be rediscovered.

There are several free Web sites, such as Mint. com, Quicken.com and Wesave.com, that can help you sort out your spending.

You upload password information for your credit cards and other accounts, and the sites aggregate and sort the data, so you can see how much you're spending on, say, groceries, eating out and movies. You can then track your spending habits over time and make adjustments to save money.

Guard Against Inflation

Currently, inflation is a relative nonissue.

Yet, many things are taking place that could raise the specter of inflation in rapid order.

For that reason, it's smart to have a portion of your fixed-income investments in Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS. These bonds are backed by the U.S.government, like normal Treasury papers, but also have built-in protections that boost returns to account for inflation.

Another inflation-hedging strategy is to invest in commodities. When growth resumes, demand for oil, copper and other commodities will rise, making their prices increase.A warning, though：Given the volatility of commodities, financial planners recommend that investors have no more than 5%to 10%of their portfolio in this sector.

Have a Stock-Market Strategy

Despite the recent sprint in share prices, investors remain leery of the stock market. It will take more than a four-week rally to soothe the pain caused by the stock market since it tumbled from its late-2007 highs.When so much doubt surrounds the stock market, it's usually a time to think about investing in equities.Despite the horrid pain most of us have suffered in the market during the past 18 months, stocks, like the economy, will not remain down forever.

Even with the recent runup in stocks, you still might have a larger-than-usual chunk of your assets in bonds these days, because bonds did well last year and have remained solid this year. If that's the case, rebalancing toward stocks makes sense, especially with their prices so low.

Preserve What You Have

One of the lessons of the past few years is that the stock market and your home are not ATMs. They are assets that can rise and fall.Having a strategy to preserve your gains is prudent in these challenging times.

Along with diversification of assets-stocks, bonds, cash-maintain diversification in the stock market, as well. Buy broad, low-fee index funds, rather than individual stocks, to lower your exposure to risk.

And maintain a rainy-day fund in safer places, such as TIPS, certificates of deposit or highly rated municipal or corporate bonds. A good rule of thumb is to have a reserve of six months'earnings in case of a job loss.

So, what should you definitely not do?

Don't Bury Your Money in the Backyard

With things the way they are, it's tempting to simply opt out altogether. Fear of financial-system failure, the uncertain nature of the stock market and just a sense of foreboding have people thinking that it's smarter to keep their money in the backyard, a mattress or an empty can.But it really isn't.The bank-insurance system works for holdings under$250000.I know because my bank once failed, and the transfer of assets was seamless.So, at least keep your cash in certificates of deposit earning some sort of return.An overabundance of fear and caution can cost you money；don't let that happen to you.

Don't Chase Returns

This is a great temptation in any market, but especially so today. Bonds had a great run last year, but some analysts believe they may just be the next bubble waiting to burst.

In short, don't double down on an asset that has had such a tremendous run. You are likely coming to the game too late, since most of the gains have already been made.That can skew your portfolio too sharply in a single direction, making you vulnerable to a decline in previously hot asset groups.

Look at it this way. In the past few years, the temptation to chase returns led people to buy too many houses, invest too heavily in a soaring stock market and aggressively bid up oil.All of it ended badly.

Don't Abandon Diversification

There's a great desire now to stay safe by holding only cash or only Treasury papers. This kind of behavior is really just the same as chasing performance.

Don't Stop Saving for Retirement

In times of turmoil, we tend to focus on what's right in front of us:the current bills, the savings account and what the day will bring. But we are all still going to want to retire at some point, so that means remaining disciplined about saving for retirement.

Don't lgnore Common Sense

Much heartbreak in the recent past has stemmed from an ignorance of common sense. Fraudsters promising overabundant returns snookered many investors.Some people viewed housing and the stock markets as never-can-lose gambits.Others spent far more than they had.

Personal finance, at its heart, boils down to common sense. You have to eliminate your high-cost debt and get on a budget.You must save for retirement.And you need to make sure that you own a home you can afford and enjoy, as opposed to seeing it as a get-rich-quick scheme.

In short：Be prudent, save money, invest wisely. Getting back to these very basics will help all of us rebuild our portfolios and set sail for a better day.

盡管近期股市出現(xiàn)了上漲，但過去18個月里市場的表現(xiàn)仍讓投資組合損失慘痛。就業(yè)率仍在快速下降，經(jīng)濟衰退的陰影揮之不去。

當我們經(jīng)歷這些困難時，你應(yīng)當如何考慮自己的財務(wù)狀況呢？最基本的一點是要記住吉卜林所寫的：在別人糊涂時依然保持清醒。在眼下這個時刻，很容易產(chǎn)生情況永遠也不會好轉(zhuǎn)的想法。但如果說歷史對我們有所啟迪，那就是事情最終會有所改善。事實上，按以往經(jīng)濟動蕩的標準判斷，這次衰退的時間已經(jīng)很久了。第二次世界大戰(zhàn)以后的衰退平均持續(xù)時間為11個月，最長是1981年至1982年之間的16個月。本輪危機已經(jīng)持續(xù)15個月了。

此外，觸底的跡象也開始顯現(xiàn)。石油價格已開始上升，這表明需求已經(jīng)有所增加。中國恢復(fù)了對鋁的進口。此外，刺激計劃將在今年晚些時候開始產(chǎn)生作用，創(chuàng)造就業(yè)機會，或許還有助于緩解市場上的嚴重的恐慌情緒。

因此，未來的前景肯定是光明的。在此之前，這里有一些策略幫助你保持清醒的頭腦：在考慮應(yīng)如何保護和增加你的資產(chǎn)時應(yīng)該堅決做到“五要”和“五不要”。

讓我們先從“五要”開始：

減少負債

我們很多人在過去的十年里用信用卡或其他負債方式進行了過多的透支?，F(xiàn)在這些債務(wù)就像達摩克利斯之劍一樣懸在人們頭上。目前的當務(wù)之急就是減少這種高成本負債，并將其排在為退休儲蓄或投資股市之前。

精打細算

節(jié)儉正當時。這意味著精打細算，認真思忖你的開支，尋找省錢良方。也許你外出就餐的次數(shù)超出了你的設(shè)想，或是在咖啡上花的錢太多。預(yù)算對很多人都缺乏約束力，現(xiàn)在應(yīng)該重新認識這點了。

有不少免費網(wǎng)站，如Mint.com、Quicken.com和Wesave.com，這些網(wǎng)站可以幫助你理清開支。

你只要上傳你的信用卡和其他賬戶的密碼信息，這類網(wǎng)站就會對數(shù)據(jù)進行匯總和分類，這樣你就可以看到自己在食品、外出就餐和電影等方面的支出情況了。然后，你可以跟蹤一段自己的消費習(xí)慣，并做出一些調(diào)整以省錢。

謹防通脹

目前，通貨膨脹基本還不算一個問題。

然而，正在發(fā)生的許多事情可能讓通貨膨脹的幽靈迅速出現(xiàn)。

出于這個原因，在你的固定收益投資中持有部分財政部通貨膨脹保值債券（TIPS）當是明智之舉。同普通美國國債一樣，這些債券不但得到了美國政府的支持，本身還具有保護功能，可在通貨膨脹時提高回報率。

另一個對沖通貨膨脹的策略是投資大宗商品。當經(jīng)濟恢復(fù)增長時，對石油、銅和其他大宗商品的需求將會增加，從而將推動它們的價格上漲。不過，應(yīng)該注意：鑒于商品的波動性，理財規(guī)劃師建議，投資者對這部分的投資最好占其投資組合的5%至10%。

要有股市投資戰(zhàn)略

盡管最近股價有所上揚，但投資者對股市仍應(yīng)持警惕態(tài)度。股市自2007年年末不斷創(chuàng)出新高后一路下跌，這種情況造成的損失不是靠一輪為時四周的上漲就能消除的。當有這么多的懷疑籠罩著股市時，通常也就到了考慮投資股市的時候了。盡管過去18個月里我們大部分人都在股市上遭受了切膚之痛，但股市和經(jīng)濟一樣，不會永遠保持低迷狀態(tài)。

即便是在最近股市上揚的情況下，你目前所持有的債券占你總資產(chǎn)的比例或許仍高于通常水平，因為債券去年表現(xiàn)不錯，今年也依然強勁。如果是這種情況，那么多持有一些股票是有意義的，特別是在股價如此之低的時候。

保護已有的收益

過去幾年的教訓(xùn)之一是，股市和你的房子不是自動取款機，而是價值可漲可跌的資產(chǎn)。在當前這個充滿挑戰(zhàn)的時期，擁有一個保護已有收益的戰(zhàn)略是謹慎的做法。

除資產(chǎn)投資分散化（股票、債券和現(xiàn)金）外，股市投資也要保持分散化。買進大范圍的低成本指數(shù)基金，而不要買某只個股，以減小風(fēng)險敞口。

把以防萬一的資金放在比較安全的投資上，比如通貨膨脹保值債券、定期存單，或評級較高的市政債券或公司債券。留出一筆相當于六個月收入的備用金，萬一失業(yè)就可以派上用場，這是個不錯的經(jīng)驗總結(jié)。

你絕對不該做的又是什么呢？

不要把錢埋在后院里

考慮到現(xiàn)在的形勢，人們可能很容易會想干脆什么也不投了。對金融體系失靈的擔心、股市不確定的本性，甚至只是一種不祥之感，都會讓人們認為把錢放在后院、床墊或空罐子里要更明智一些。不過這就大錯特錯了。銀行保險體系對低于25萬美元的資產(chǎn)是能起作用的。我知道這點，因為我工作的銀行倒閉了，而資產(chǎn)卻實現(xiàn)了“無縫”轉(zhuǎn)移。因此，至少把現(xiàn)金放到定存單中還能獲得一些收益。過于小心謹慎或擔心害怕會讓你的金錢受到損失，不要讓這點發(fā)生在你的身上。

不要追逐回報

回報在任何市場上都有很大的誘惑力，但在眼下就更為明顯。債券去年大幅上揚，但一些分析師認為這可能是下一個等待破滅的泡沫。

簡而言之，不要在已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)這種巨大漲幅的資產(chǎn)上“雙倍下注”。你參與這場游戲的時間可能太遲了，因為大多數(shù)的漲幅都已經(jīng)過了。這可能使你的投資組合向一個方向大幅變化，讓你容易受到此前熱門資產(chǎn)類別下跌的沖擊。

這么說吧，過去幾年里，追逐回報的誘惑令人們買了太多的房子，在大幅飆升的股市上投入重金，大肆推高油價。這樣做的結(jié)果都很糟。

不要放棄分散投資

現(xiàn)在人們只持有現(xiàn)金或美國國債以保安全的想法非常強烈。這類行為其實與追逐業(yè)績的做法毫無二致。

不要停止為退休攢錢

在動蕩時期，我們往往會只看眼前：當期的賬單、儲蓄賬戶、今天會發(fā)生什么事。不過，我們?nèi)远紩Ｍ谀硞€時候退休，所以這就意味著要堅持為退休攢錢的做法。

不要忽視常識

最近令人心碎的事大部分源于對常識的忽視。騙子承諾的過于豐厚的回報誆騙了很多投資者。有些人認為房市和股市是只賺不賠的買賣，有些人則入不敷出。

個人理財歸根到底是常識的問題。你必須消除高成本負債，進行預(yù)算。你必須為退休攢錢。你還要確保自己擁有一座負擔得起，又可以享受的房子，而不是把房子看成是一個一夜暴富的工具。

簡而言之：要謹慎、攢錢、明智地投資。回歸這些基本點將幫助我們所有的人重建投資組合，迎接更美好的生活。

實戰(zhàn)提升

核心單詞

recession[ri'se??n]n.衰退；衰退期

soothe[su：e]v.緩和；減輕

strategy['str?tid?i]n.策略，計謀；對策

exposure[ik'sp?u??]n.揭露，揭發(fā)

eliminate[i'limineit]v.排除；消除

財經(jīng)知識一點通

保值債券（indexed bonds）

又稱保值國債，是在20世紀80年代后期中國面臨較嚴重的通貨膨脹時應(yīng)運而生的。當時，為了吸引資金、穩(wěn)定通貨、增加財政資金，中國財政部于1989年發(fā)行了這種帶有保值補貼的國債。

觸底（bottom）

是碰觸最低點。所謂“物極必反”，碰觸最低點后會向好的方向發(fā)展。

翻譯練習(xí)

Despite recent gains in the stock market, portfolios remain badly damaged by the market performance of the past 18 months.

For that reason, it's smart to have a portion of your fixed-income investments in Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TlPS.

Along with diversification of assets-stocks, bonds, cash-maintain diversification in the stock market, as well.