BBC News:持續(xù)關(guān)注英國大選

An unstressed exit poll only. This is a forcast.But he sees the Conservative up nine, an improvement on 2010, with 316 seats David Cameron there just looking rather thoughtful that what happen next. Now the obvious thought for the Conservative is the percent for the Liberal Democrats. Politicals Liberal Democrats have taken the serious damadge. Let's have a look.

We bring on Labour, 239 MPs for them. And there's Ed Miliband watching the Conservative side to see the Liberal Democrats to come on. Here they come. They are down 47, but here is a remarkable thing. This is when they are talking about exquisite torture. Look at this. Because they're actually on the line. The line is just down here.

326 is what they need. They have an overall majority and a coalition Conservative plus leave then 316 plus 10 under the poll get to exactly 326 seats that have come. Now output only takes the tiny varition on our forcast and good as we not see them before,for them to drop below that. And then they could be other issue that Mr. Cameron might need to consider. We'll just talk about that on a second.

We'll go to the oppositon benches now. So we have Labour on 239. We bring on the SNP,you could see them there, a quite sensatinal result for them. Remember 59 seats in total in Scotland, they won all but one of them, under our forcast. And the last the natinality had 60 seats in total. So they gone from 60 to 58,an unequal surge.It is a standout result of the night as well as what happening between the two main parties.

Now we bring on the others for you. Anything quite a goodnight to plight coming Welsh natioals to gain the seat.And UK have two NPs under our forcast. Again under line, under line, just as the forcast at the moment. DUP in Northen Ireland,eight. And let's have a look at the other, which the other Northen Ireland parties under this date was showing. Possibly George Gelloway, we have on 11.

Now I mention the option for David Cameron. If he just get back to the site for a second. If we have a situation where as the nine goes on, maybe the Liberal Democrats will suffer even more damage. Maybe they are under nine all right. Suddenly all the Conservatives got fewer than those 316. What happens next? Well, he could ask for the DUP to the join this coalitionalist side. And he could try and bring them over the government benches. But the moment, under our forcast,even if you range all of these MPs together,including over Labour Mps and the SNP MPs, they couldn't switch the weak side and govern the coalition. Because they do not make the 326 seats you need in the House of Commom for an overall majority.That's where we are the moment with our forcast and leaves poise David for a fascinating night.