聽好書學英語人文類John Maynard Keynes 02

<p>[ti:未知]<br /> [ar:]<br /> [al:]<br /> [by:]<br /> [00:02.58]知行英語<br /> [00:07.36]Listen and Share<br /> [00:30.03]John Maynard Keynes  凱恩斯傳<br /> [00:47.11]精彩點評<br /> [00:50.30]These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic training<br /> [00:54.34]are the main defect,<br /> [00:56.67]not only in this book<br /> [00:58.43]but in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writings<br /> [01:02.67]on Keynes going back over 30 years.<br /> [01:06.17]I will concentrate on Skidelsky's error<br /> [01:09.15]filled statements concerning Keynes's<br /> [01:12.33]A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP)<br /> [01:16.83]and the logical theory of probability. On p.95.<br /> [01:22.93]講解<br /> [01:47.03]逐句對照<br /> [01:52.07]These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic training<br /> [01:56.18]are the main defect,<br /> [02:03.41]not only in this book<br /> [02:05.12]but in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writings<br /> [02:08.90]on Keynes going back over 30 years.<br /> [02:21.02]I will concentrate on Skidelsky's error<br /> [02:23.63]filled statements<br /> [02:28.65]concerning Keynes's<br /> [02:30.00]A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP)<br /> [02:35.08]and the logical theory of probability. On p.95.<br /> [02:48.19]多學一點<br /> [02:50.51]concentrate on  集中于，全神貫注于<br /> [02:56.38]concentrate upon<br /> [03:01.18]concentrate on my work<br /> [03:04.26]concentrate one's effort on sth.<br /> [03:10.67]We must concentrate our efforts on improving education.<br /> [03:19.23]concerning  關于<br /> [03:21.77]This is a proposal concerning the construction<br /> [03:25.19]of the new airport.<br /> [03:32.87]concerned<br /> [03:35.91]They called on all departments concerned to take actions.<br /> [03:44.84]concerned  有關的<br /> [03:54.11]people concerned<br /> [04:25.83]Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifference<br /> [04:28.95]with the principle of insufficient reason.<br /> [04:32.30]They are not the same.<br /> [04:34.04]Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant,<br /> [04:38.69]available evidence or factors<br /> [04:41.48]involved before equiprobabilities are assigned.<br /> [04:46.32]Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason,<br /> [04:49.42]on the other hand,<br /> [04:50.71]argue that equiprobabilities can be applied in states<br /> [04:55.73]where no relevant evidence exists.<br /> [04:59.49]Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning.<br /> [05:04.79]講解<br /> [05:32.78]逐句對照<br /> [05:37.88]Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifference<br /> [05:41.09]with the principle of insufficient reason.<br /> [05:49.97]They are not the same.<br /> [05:53.72]Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant,<br /> [05:58.34]available evidence or factors<br /> [06:01.02]involved before equiprobabilities are assigned.<br /> [06:15.31]Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason,<br /> [06:18.32]on the other hand, argue that<br /> [06:24.88]equiprobabilities can be applied in states<br /> [06:28.02]where no relevant evidence exists.<br /> [06:35.70]Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning.<br /> [06:44.20]多學一點<br /> [06:46.26]on the other hand<br /> [06:51.60]on one hand...on the other hand...<br /> [06:57.42]On one hand, nature is our friend,<br /> [07:00.09]on the other hand, it will hurt us sometimes.<br /> [07:12.06]on the other hand  但是<br /> [07:15.13]but<br /> [07:45.55]Skidelsky bases his assessment<br /> [07:48.02]of Keynes's logical theory of probability<br /> [07:50.94]on the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell.<br /> [07:57.64]Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessments<br /> [08:00.73]of the TP on four sources:<br /> [08:04.21]1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurement<br /> [08:07.74]of probability in chapter III of the TP;<br /> [08:12.16]2) F. Ramsey's 1922 book review of the TP<br /> [08:17.45]in The Cambridge Magazine;<br /> [08:20.77]3) F.Ramsey's 1926 book review of the TP in his article,<br /> [08:27.20]"Truth and Probability",<br /> [08:29.49]published in 1931 in a book of articles; and<br /> [08:33.83]4) Keynes's 4 page eulogy<br /> [08:36.99]and very brief review of the book in 1931.<br /> [08:42.69]講解<br /> [09:23.11]逐句對照<br /> [09:27.83]Skidelsky bases his assessment<br /> [09:29.77]of Keynes's logical theory of probability<br /> [09:32.55]on the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell.<br /> [09:47.68]Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessments<br /> [09:50.72]of the TP on four sources:<br /> [09:58.90]1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurement<br /> [10:02.39]of probability in chapter III of the TP;<br /> [10:11.98]2) F. Ramsey's 1922 book review of the TP<br /> [10:17.23]in The Cambridge Magazine;<br /> [10:26.53]3) F.Ramsey's 1926 book review of the TP in his article,<br /> [10:32.92]"Truth and Probability",<br /> [10:34.99]published in 1931 in a book of articles;<br /> [10:48.64]and 4) Keynes's 4 page eulogy<br /> [10:52.26]and very brief review of the book in 1931.<br /> [11:03.92]多學一點<br /> [11:06.32]base...on<br /> [11:07.56]base  基礎，根據(jù)<br /> [11:19.64]We should base love on mutual tolerance.<br /> [11:24.92]base / basis<br /> [11:30.50]base<br /> [11:34.22]the base of monument<br /> [11:38.25]basis<br /> [11:41.68]the basis of our cooperation<br /> [11:59.80]原音重現(xiàn)<br /> [12:03.29]These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic training<br /> [12:07.23]are the main defect,<br /> [12:09.67]not only in this book<br /> [12:11.45]but in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writings<br /> [12:15.12]on Keynes going back over 30 years.<br /> [12:19.11]I will concentrate on Skidelsky's error<br /> [12:21.96]filled statements concerning Keynes's<br /> [12:24.47]A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP)<br /> [12:29.72]and the logical theory of probability. On p.95.<br /> [12:34.72]Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifference<br /> [12:37.89]with the principle of insufficient reason.<br /> [12:41.09]They are not the same.<br /> [12:42.95]Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant,<br /> [12:47.59]available evidence or factors<br /> [12:50.05]involved before equiprobabilities are assigned.<br /> [12:54.89]Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason,<br /> [12:57.89]on the other hand,<br /> [12:59.10]argue that equiprobabilities can be applied in states<br /> [13:04.03]where no relevant evidence exists.<br /> [13:07.47]Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning.<br /> [13:10.45]Skidelsky bases his assessment<br /> [13:13.24]of Keynes's logical theory of probability<br /> [13:16.07]on the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell.<br /> [13:22.61]Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessments<br /> [13:25.92]of the TP on four sources:<br /> [13:29.41]1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurement<br /> [13:32.86]of probability in chapter III of the TP;<br /> [13:36.98]2) F. Ramsey's 1922 book review of the TP<br /> [13:42.33]in The Cambridge Magazine;<br /> [13:45.41]3) F.Ramsey's 1926 book review of the TP in his article,<br /> [13:51.98]"Truth and Probability",<br /> [13:53.93]published in 1931 in a book of articles; and<br /> [13:58.85]4) Keynes's 4 page eulogy<br /> [14:01.88]and very brief review of the book in 1931.<br /> [14:33.04]知行提示</p>

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