The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil.
“Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season, that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we can safely predict that this region will experience an increased demand for heating oil during the next five years.”
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
【本題與Day 60相似,不同之處:(1)最后一句中的“we can safely predict that this region will experience an increased demand for heating oil during the next five years”是結(jié)論。(2)本題還可以反駁:文中是否給出充足論據(jù)來證明接下來的五年對油料的需求都會增加?五年之內(nèi)情況不會有變化嗎?】
五問:
其他可參考Day 60的思考路徑