劉文勇GRE寫作Argument題庫(kù) Day 109

Day 109 Several factors indicate that radio station KNOW should shift its programming from rock-and-roll music to a continuous news format

The following appeared in a memorandum from the general manager of KNOW radio station.

“Several factors indicate that radio station KNOW should shift its programming from rock-and-roll music to a continuous news format. Consider, for example, that the number of people in our listening area over fifty years of age has increased dramatically, while our total number of listeners has declined. Also, music stores in our area report decreased sales of recorded music. Finally, continuous news stations in neighboring cities have been very successful. The switch from rock-and-roll music to 24-hour news will attract older listeners and secure KNOW radio's future.”

Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.

五問(wèn)：

（1）“the number of people in our listening area over fifty years of age has increased dramatically, while our total number of listeners has declined. Also, music stores in our area report decreased sales of recorded music. Finally, continuous news stations in neighboring cities have been very successful”是事實(shí)，“Several factors indicate that radio station KNOW should shift its programming from rock-and-roll music to a continuous news format”是結(jié)論，值得反駁嗎？（注意 KNOW要大寫，是一個(gè) radio station的名字。）

（2）本地區(qū)年齡在 50歲以上的人口增長(zhǎng)的同時(shí)， radio station的聽(tīng)眾減少，一定是因?yàn)閾u滾樂(lè)節(jié)目造成的嗎？是否可能有其他更重要的原因？例如：電臺(tái)的廣告太多， DJ水平太差等。

（3）本地的音樂(lè)商店所出售的音樂(lè)唱片的數(shù)目減少，一定是因?yàn)槿藗儾辉敢饴?tīng)音樂(lè)了嗎？是否可能有其他原因？比如人們使用更先進(jìn)的 itunes來(lái)下載音樂(lè)。即便人們不愿意購(gòu)買音樂(lè)唱片，是否就意味著他們不愿意通過(guò)廣播電臺(tái)來(lái)收聽(tīng)免費(fèi)的音樂(lè)？原文中是否給出了足夠的信息來(lái)證明人們將會(huì)更喜歡聽(tīng)新聞而不是免費(fèi)的音樂(lè)？音像店和電臺(tái)不一樣，一個(gè)花錢買唱片，一個(gè)免費(fèi)聽(tīng)歌曲。商店銷售量下降可能與經(jīng)濟(jì)蕭條、購(gòu)買力下降以及最近沒(méi)有什么新唱片發(fā)行有關(guān)，而這種情況可能正好會(huì)使聽(tīng)電臺(tái)音樂(lè)的人數(shù)有所增加。

（4）臨近的城市與本地是否可能有所不同？原文中是否給出了足夠的信息來(lái)說(shuō)明臨近的城市與本地之間的差異？哪些城市之間的差異可能導(dǎo)致在“臨近的城市”能夠取得成功的電臺(tái)節(jié)目可能在本地并不成功？可能臨近的城市最近正在做選舉前的民意調(diào)查，所以當(dāng)?shù)鼐用駥?duì)政治新聞更有興趣。

（5）原文中是否給出了足夠的信息來(lái)證明，年長(zhǎng)的聽(tīng)眾更容易被新聞而不是音樂(lè)所吸引？另外，年長(zhǎng)的聽(tīng)眾一定是我們的目標(biāo)聽(tīng)眾嗎？而對(duì)于老年人來(lái)說(shuō)，他們也許不愛(ài)聽(tīng)搖滾樂(lè)，但也沒(méi)有證據(jù)說(shuō)他們一定會(huì)喜歡政治新聞。